I read Turchin’s book and although I agree that his model describes well what we are living (and 40 years of asset bubble that you didn’t even mentioned), I am reminded of “humans are suckers for god stories”, and with Briggs “model that describes well but doesn’t predict is BS”. Really can’t put history and science in one sentence. But …
I read Turchin’s book and although I agree that his model describes well what we are living (and 40 years of asset bubble that you didn’t even mentioned), I am reminded of “humans are suckers for god stories”, and with Briggs “model that describes well but doesn’t predict is BS”. Really can’t put history and science in one sentence. But as you said it was eye opener and excellent read, with lots of after thinking. Thanks for this one Doc
This book really annoyed me. The author points out dozens of trends and occurrences over the past 1000 years or so, but it's kind of like noticing squirrels. He fails to show whether these trends are causes or effects. I think he's too wedded to his model, like wedding oneself to the lipid hypothesis. I would have more appreciation for his effort if he had made a stab at naming a deeper cause behind his trends, like "elite overproduction". How about the USA's debasement of the money for the last 60 years? I think a great deal of human behavior follows from that. It can't go on forever though, and this author and more and more people every day know it too.
I read Turchin’s book and although I agree that his model describes well what we are living (and 40 years of asset bubble that you didn’t even mentioned), I am reminded of “humans are suckers for god stories”, and with Briggs “model that describes well but doesn’t predict is BS”. Really can’t put history and science in one sentence. But as you said it was eye opener and excellent read, with lots of after thinking. Thanks for this one Doc
I hope you get it and enjoy it as much as I did. Though enjoy is not really the word. Appreciate would be a better word.
This book really annoyed me. The author points out dozens of trends and occurrences over the past 1000 years or so, but it's kind of like noticing squirrels. He fails to show whether these trends are causes or effects. I think he's too wedded to his model, like wedding oneself to the lipid hypothesis. I would have more appreciation for his effort if he had made a stab at naming a deeper cause behind his trends, like "elite overproduction". How about the USA's debasement of the money for the last 60 years? I think a great deal of human behavior follows from that. It can't go on forever though, and this author and more and more people every day know it too.